Week 4

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8-13 -6 Units on the year... let's see if we can right the ship, fade 'em if you must

2U OU TT Under 24.5
2U TN -6.5
Going large in TN tomorrow. Vols haven't really been tested and this road game will be a test. However, I think OU is a bit overrated and haven't been enthused by their o-line. I think they'll struggle to hit a rhythm on offense and will be forced to slow the game down. If Tennessee takes care of the ball and musters up mid 20s, I think they cruise to a win. A bit concerned with how public they are, but trusting my eyes.
2U Oklahoma TT Under 24.5
2U Tennessee -6.5

2U Indiana -27.5 (-136) I'm not fully buying Indiana yet. However, charlotte QB situation and their run defense are massive red flags in this matchup. Cignetti is trying to build a swagger and attitude at Indiana before they head into the thick of their schedule and has shown a willingness to keep the pedal to the medal. If IU can run the ball on the 49ers (like everyone has so far) they can squeeze the life out of them and force them to be one dimensional with a third string QB... this can get sideways. Bought the line down to sit below a key number.

1U FL -6.5: hold your nose. Betting that the Gators haven't quit on Napier and that Miss State sucks. Gators absolutely need this one heading into a bye week, I like the spot for them.


1U Miami/USF Under 64.5: Bulls have some fight to them- defense has held their own and kept Bama on the ropes until a fourth quarter breakdown. Hurricane defense has also impressed early this year and should outgun the bulls up front and make it difficult for them.

1U JMU +10.5: JMU had a chance to lick their wounds and reflect after a disappointing win two weeks ago. I like the JMU defensive front and UNC has been pretty one dimensional. This will come down to JMUs ability to tackle, which has been hit or miss. UNC game script doesn't lend itself to blowing opponents out and I imagine they'll try to wear down the dukes. I like the dukes to drag the heels into the mud and limit them enough to keep it inside the number

1U Northern IL -13.5: Buying the hype. They had a week off after the big ND upset, so plenty of time to celebrate and refocus, not concerned with a letdown based on that. More importantly, beyond the win at ND, the production was impressed, it wasn't flukey- they averaged 6 yards/ play against a strong Irish defense. Buffalo will have its work cut out for it keeping up with them so I'll lay the points.

1U Michigan +4.5 homer pick. Tough start to the year for the wolverines, who have a lot to figure out. Optimistic about the QB change and think Orji can help the offense extend drives and keep their defense on the sideline. Wolverines defense is still stout, but they've been on the field a ton and in bad positions. USC defense has looked better, but have still been a bit weak against the run.

BOL
 

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